AEK Athens FC v OFI: the model read
AEK Athens FC meet OFI in the Cup quarter-finals at OPAP Arena, Athens. The model makes AEK Athens FC the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 46% AEK, 29% draw, 26% OFI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1650 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans AEK Athens FC, 73% against 55%. Attacking output favors AEK Athens FC on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 53%, over 2.5 goals around 60%. Draw no bet leans AEK Athens FC at 64%; double chance reads AEK Athens FC or draw 74%, OFI or draw 54%.
AEK Athens FC arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ PEC Zwolle, W 2-1 @ Groningen, D 0-0 @ Vitesse, W 2-1 @ De Graafschap.
OFI are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 6 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ GO Ahead Eagles, W 3-1 v Volos NFC, L 2-3 @ Levadiakos, L 1-3 @ Aris Thessalonikis.
AEK Athens FC hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 2 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: AEK Athens FC 0-1 OFI.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
