Olympiakos Piraeus v PAOK: the model read
Olympiakos Piraeus meet PAOK in the Cup quarter-finals at Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus. The model makes PAOK the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 32% OLY, 31% draw, 37% PAO.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 55%. Attacking output favors PAOK on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 42%. Draw no bet leans PAOK at 54%; double chance reads Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 63%, PAOK or draw 68%.
Olympiakos Piraeus arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ AZ Alkmaar, L 0-3 @ Antwerp, L 0-1 @ Ajax, W 3-1 v Fortuna Sittard.
PAOK are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 16 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Dynamo Kyiv, L 2-3 v Twente, W 3-2 v AEK Larnaca, W 4-0 v KVC Westerlo.
PAOK hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Olympiakos Piraeus 1-1 PAOK.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
