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Friendlies · Friendly International · World

USA v Germany

1-2Full time· Soldier Field, Chicago· Referee: Piero Maza, Chile

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Match analysisPre-match brief

USA v Germany: the model read

USA meet Germany in the Friendlies friendly international at Soldier Field, Chicago.

The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1673, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Germany, 73% against 60%. Attacking output favors Germany on expected goals, 2.6 to 1.9 per match.

USA arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v Belgium, W 2-0 v Bosnia & Herzegovina, L 2-3 @ Türkiye, W 2-0 v Australia.

Germany are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Paraguay, L 1-2 @ Ecuador, W 2-1 v Ivory Coast, W 7-1 v Curaçao.

Germany hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: USA 1-2 Germany.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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USA

WWLWL11-2-7

Scored 1.85 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 70%

  • LHBelgium1-4
  • WHBosnia & Herzegovina2-0
  • LATürkiye2-3
  • WHAustralia2-0
  • WHParaguay4-1

Germany

WWWLD13-3-4

Scored 2.65 · Conceded 1.10 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 60%

  • DHParaguay1-1
  • LAEcuador1-2
  • WHIvory Coast2-1
  • WHCuraçao7-1
  • WAUSA2-1

Head-to-head

3 meetings

USArecordGermany
0
3
0 draws

Goals

2-6

for each

Avg goals

2.7

per game

BTTS

67%

both scored

Over 2.5

67%

3+ goals

USA

Recent
LLL
Wins 0Goals 2-6

Germany

Recent
WWW
Wins 3Goals 6-2

Biggest win 3-1

  • USA1-2Germany
  • USA1-3Germany
  • USA0-1Germany

Managers

Mauricio Pochettino

Head coach

In charge since 2026

J. Nagelsmann

Germany · 38

In charge since 2023 · 5 teams managed

  • Bayern Munich2021–2023
  • RB Leipzig2019–2021
  • Hoffenheim2016–2019
  • Hoffenheim U192013–2016

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.