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Friendlies · Friendly International · World

England v Uruguay

1-1Full time· Wembley Stadium, London· Referee: Sven Jablonski, Germany

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Match analysisPre-match brief

England v Uruguay: the model read

England meet Uruguay in the Friendlies friendly international at Wembley Stadium, London.

England rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1730 to 1477. Recent form leans England, 80% against 50%. Attacking output favors England on expected goals, 2.3 to 0.8 per match.

England arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 14 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 6-4 @ France, L 1-2 v Argentina, W 2-1 @ Norway, W 3-2 @ Mexico.

Uruguay are patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Spain, D 2-2 v Cape Verde Islands, D 1-1 @ Saudi Arabia, D 0-0 @ Algeria.

Uruguay hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: England 1-1 Uruguay.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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England

WWWLW15-2-3

Scored 2.30 · Conceded 0.85 · Clean sheets 55% · BTTS 40%

  • WAFrance6-4
  • LHArgentina1-2
  • WANorway2-1
  • WAMexico3-2
  • WHCongo DR2-1

Uruguay

DDDDL5-10-5

Scored 0.85 · Conceded 0.90 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 35%

  • LHSpain0-1
  • DHCape Verde Islands2-2
  • DASaudi Arabia1-1
  • DAAlgeria0-0
  • DAEngland1-1

Head-to-head

2 meetings

EnglandrecordUruguay
0
1
1 draw

Goals

2-3

for each

Avg goals

2.5

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

England

Recent
DL
Wins 0Goals 2-3

Uruguay

Recent
DW
Wins 1Goals 3-2

Biggest win 2-1

  • England1-1Uruguay
  • Uruguay2-1England

Managers

T. Tuchel

Germany · 52

In charge since 2025 · 6 teams managed

  • Bayern Munich2023–2024
  • Chelsea2021–2022
  • PSG2018–2020
  • Borussia Dortmund2015–2017

M. Bielsa

Argentina · 70

In charge since 2024 · 13 teams managed

  • Leeds United2018–2022
  • Lille2017–2017
  • Marseille2014–2015
  • Athletic Bilbao2011–2013

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.