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Mexico v Iceland

4-0Full time· Estadio La Corregidora

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Mexico v Iceland: the model read

Mexico meet Iceland in the Friendlies friendly international at Estadio La Corregidora, undefined.

Mexico rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1400. Recent form leans Mexico, 70% against 30%. Attacking output favors Mexico on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.

Mexico arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 10 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v England, W 2-0 v Ecuador, W 3-0 @ Czechia, W 1-0 v South Korea.

Iceland are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Argentina, L 0-1 @ Japan, D 1-1 @ Haiti, D 2-2 @ Canada.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Mexico

WWWWL11-6-3

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 0.75 · Clean sheets 60% · BTTS 35%

  • LHEngland2-3
  • WHEcuador2-0
  • WACzechia3-0
  • WHSouth Korea1-0
  • WHSouth Africa2-0

Iceland

LDDLL4-4-12

Scored 1.45 · Conceded 2.10 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 60%

  • LAArgentina0-3
  • LAJapan0-1
  • DAHaiti1-1
  • DACanada2-2
  • LAMexico0-4

Managers

J. Aguirre

Mexico · 67

In charge since 2024 · 13 teams managed

  • Mallorca2022–2024
  • Monterrey2020–2022
  • Leganes2019–2020
  • Egypt2018–2019

A. Gunnlaugsson

Iceland · 52

In charge since 2025 · 2 teams managed

  • Víkingur Reykjavík2019–2025

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.