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Africa Cup of Nations · Round of 16 · World

Ivory Coast v Burkina Faso

3-0Full time· Grand Stade de Marrakech, Marrakech· Referee: Ali Mahmood Mahmood Ismail, Sudan

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Ivory Coast v Burkina Faso: the model read

Ivory Coast meet Burkina Faso in the Africa Cup of Nations round of 16 at Grand Stade de Marrakech, Marrakech.

The baseline ratings are close, 1673 to 1589, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Ivory Coast, 73% against 61%. Attacking output favors Ivory Coast on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.8 per match.

Ivory Coast arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Norway, W 2-0 @ Curaçao, L 1-2 @ Germany, W 1-0 v Ecuador.

Burkina Faso are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Belarus, L 0-3 @ Russia, D 1-1 v Guinea-Bissau, W 5-0 v Guinea-Bissau.

Ivory Coast hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ivory Coast 3-0 Burkina Faso.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Ivory Coast

WWLWL13-3-4

Scored 1.85 · Conceded 0.60 · Clean sheets 65% · BTTS 30%

  • LHNorway1-2
  • WACuraçao2-0
  • LAGermany1-2
  • WHEcuador1-0
  • WAPhiladelphia Union II2-0

Burkina Faso

LWDLD10-3-6

Scored 1.84 · Conceded 1.11 · Clean sheets 36.8% · BTTS 36.8%

  • DABelarus2-2
  • LARussia0-3
  • DHGuinea-Bissau1-1
  • WHGuinea-Bissau5-0
  • LAIvory Coast0-3

Head-to-head

5 meetings

Ivory CoastrecordBurkina Faso
3
2
0 draws

Goals

8-5

for each

Avg goals

2.6

per game

BTTS

40%

both scored

Over 2.5

60%

3+ goals

Ivory Coast

Recent
WLWLW
Wins 3Goals 8-5

Biggest win 3-0

Burkina Faso

Recent
LWLWL
Wins 2Goals 5-8

Biggest win 2-0

  • Ivory Coast3-0Burkina Faso
  • Burkina Faso2-0Ivory Coast
  • Ivory Coast2-0Burkina Faso
  • Burkina Faso2-1Ivory Coast
  • Ivory Coast2-1Burkina Faso

Managers

Emerse Fae

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Amir Abdou

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 2 teams managed

  • Hassania Agadir2025–2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.