TunisiaMali v Tunisia: the model read
Mali meet Tunisia in the Africa Cup of Nations round of 16 at Stade Mohammed V, Casablanca.
The baseline ratings are close, 1504 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 45%. Attacking output favors Tunisia on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.
Mali arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 1 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Iran, D 0-0 @ Russia, L 0-1 v Senegal, D 1-1 v Tunisia.
Tunisia are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Netherlands, L 0-4 v Japan, L 1-5 @ Sweden, L 0-5 @ Belgium.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Mali 1-1 Tunisia.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
