Araguaína v União Carmolandense: the model read
Araguaína meet União Carmolandense in the Tocantinense regular season - 7. The model makes Araguaína the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 39% ARA, 31% draw, 30% UNI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 57%. Attacking output favors Araguaína on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 43%. Draw no bet leans Araguaína at 56%; double chance reads Araguaína or draw 70%, União Carmolandense or draw 61%.
Araguaína arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 12 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Nacional AM, L 0-1 v Nacional AM, W 9-0 v Galvez, L 2-3 @ Guaporé.
União Carmolandense are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Tocantinópolis, D 1-1 v Tocantinópolis, L 0-1 v Gurupi, W 2-1 @ Gurupi.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
