Sacachispas v Leandro N. Alem

Sacachispas meet Leandro N. Alem in the Primera C regular season - 21 at Estadio Beto Larrosa, Villa Soldati. The model makes Sacachispas the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 42% SAC, 32% draw, 26% LEA.

The baseline ratings are close, 1601 to 1504, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Sacachispas, 63% against 50%. Attacking output favors Sacachispas on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.2 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 37%, over 2.5 goals around 35%. Draw no bet leans Sacachispas at 61%; double chance reads Sacachispas or draw 74%, Leandro N. Alem or draw 58%.

Sacachispas arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 4 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Defensores de Cambaceres, W 1-0 v Juventud Unida, L 0-1 v Lugano, W 1-0 v Argentino Rosario.

Leandro N. Alem are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Canuelas, W 2-0 v Argentino Rosario, L 0-3 @ Estrella Del Sur, D 1-1 v Berazategui.

Sacachispas hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Leandro N. Alem 0-5 Sacachispas.

The market prices SAC at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on Leandro N. Alem: a 4.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.