Lujan v Central Ballester

Lujan meet Central Ballester in the Primera C regular season - 21 at 1 de abril, Buenos Aires. The model makes Lujan the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% LUJ, 33% draw, 26% CEN.

Lujan rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1443. Recent form leans Lujan, 65% against 40%. Attacking output favors Lujan on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 27%, over 2.5 goals around 24%. Draw no bet leans Lujan at 62%; double chance reads Lujan or draw 74%, Central Ballester or draw 59%.

Lujan arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Central Ballester, D 0-0 @ El Porvenir, W 2-1 v Fénix, L 0-2 @ Sportivo Barracas.

Central Ballester are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Lujan, W 3-0 v General Lamadrid, W 1-0 @ Leones de Rosario, L 0-2 v Atletico Atlas.

Lujan hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Lujan 3-1 Central Ballester.

The market prices LUJ at 57% implied. Our number sits apart on Central Ballester: a 10.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.