Puerto Nuevo v Estrella Del Sur: the model read
Puerto Nuevo meet Estrella Del Sur in the Primera C regular season - 19. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 29% PUE, 36% draw, 35% EST.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 57%. Attacking output favors Estrella Del Sur on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 23%, over 2.5 goals around 15%. Draw no bet leans Estrella Del Sur at 55%; double chance reads Puerto Nuevo or draw 65%, Estrella Del Sur or draw 71%.
Puerto Nuevo arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 5 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Argentino Rosario, L 0-1 v Fénix, W 1-0 v Estrella Del Sur, W 2-0 @ Berazategui.
Estrella Del Sur are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Deportivo Paraguayo, L 0-1 @ Puerto Nuevo, W 3-0 v Leandro N. Alem, W 3-0 @ Defensores de Cambaceres.
Puerto Nuevo hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Puerto Nuevo 1-0 Estrella Del Sur.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
