Dock Sud v Excursionistas: the model read
Dock Sud meet Excursionistas in the Primera B Metropolitana regular season - 23 at Estadio de los Inmigrantes, Buenos Aires. The model makes Excursionistas the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 29% DOC, 34% draw, 37% EXC.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 57%. Attacking output favors Excursionistas on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 28%, over 2.5 goals around 21%. Draw no bet leans Excursionistas at 56%; double chance reads Dock Sud or draw 63%, Excursionistas or draw 71%.
Dock Sud arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Liniers, W 1-0 @ Real Pilar, D 0-0 v UAI Urquiza, L 1-2 @ Villa Dalmine.
Excursionistas are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Flandria, D 0-0 v Argentino Quilmes, W 2-0 @ Defensores Unidos, L 1-2 v Comunicaciones.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
