Temperley v Atletico DE Rafaela

Temperley meet Atletico DE Rafaela in the Primera Nacional regular season - 21 at Estadio Alfredo Beranger, Turdera. The model makes Temperley the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% TEM, 36% draw, 27% ATL.

The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Temperley, 63% against 48%. Attacking output favors Temperley on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.7 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 19%, over 2.5 goals around 12%. Draw no bet leans Temperley at 57%; double chance reads Temperley or draw 73%, Atletico DE Rafaela or draw 64%.

Temperley arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 8 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Atletico DE Rafaela, D 0-0 @ Agropecuario, W 1-0 v Tristan Suarez, D 1-1 v San Martin Tucuman.

Atletico DE Rafaela are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 1 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Temperley, L 1-3 v Deportivo Maipu, L 0-1 @ Almagro, D 0-0 @ Nueva Chicago.

Atletico DE Rafaela hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Temperley 2-0 Atletico DE Rafaela.

The market prices TEM at 55% implied. Our number sits apart on Atletico DE Rafaela: a 12.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.