Defensores De Belgrano v Los Andes

Defensores De Belgrano meet Los Andes in the Primera Nacional regular season - 21 at Estadio Juan Pasquale, Belgrano. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 22% DEF, 39% draw, 39% LOS.

The baseline ratings are close, 1456 to 1565, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Los Andes, 61% against 45%. Attacking output favors Los Andes on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.7 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 9%, over 2.5 goals around 6%. Draw no bet leans Los Andes at 63%; double chance reads Defensores De Belgrano or draw 61%, Los Andes or draw 78%.

Defensores De Belgrano arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 2 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Godoy Cruz, W 2-1 v Deportivo Moron, L 0-1 v All Boys, L 0-3 v Colon Santa Fe.

Los Andes are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Ciudad de Bolívar, L 0-1 @ Almirante Brown, L 1-2 @ Deportivo Madryn, W 3-0 @ Atletico Mitre.

Defensores De Belgrano hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Los Andes 0-1 Defensores De Belgrano.

The market prices DEF at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on Los Andes: a 11.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 67 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.