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Primera Nacional · Regular Season - 20 · Argentina

Midland v Quilmes

1-0Full time· Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium, Buenos Aires

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Midland v Quilmes: the model read

Midland meet Quilmes in the Primera Nacional regular season - 20 at Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium, Buenos Aires. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% MID, 36% draw, 28% QUI.

Midland rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1468. Recent form leans Midland, 63% against 45%. Attacking output favors Midland on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 20%, over 2.5 goals around 13%. Draw no bet leans Midland at 56%; double chance reads Midland or draw 72%, Quilmes or draw 64%.

Midland arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Patronato, W 1-0 v Quilmes, D 1-1 v Gimnasia Jujuy, D 1-1 @ Patronato.

Quilmes are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Colegiales, L 0-1 @ Midland, W 2-1 v Atlanta, L 1-3 @ Colegiales.

Midland hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Midland 1-0 Quilmes.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Midland

LDDWW10-5-5

Scored 1.15 · Conceded 0.70 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 40%

  • WHPatronato1-0
  • WHQuilmes1-0
  • DHGimnasia Jujuy1-1
  • DAPatronato1-1
  • LHAtlanta1-2

Quilmes

WLWLL6-5-8

Scored 0.95 · Conceded 0.84 · Clean sheets 42.1% · BTTS 26.3%

  • LHColegiales0-1
  • LAMidland0-1
  • WHAtlanta2-1
  • LAColegiales1-3
  • WHGimnasia Y Tiro1-0

Head-to-head

2 meetings

MidlandrecordQuilmes
1
0
1 draw

Goals

1-0

for each

Avg goals

0.5

per game

BTTS

0%

both scored

Over 2.5

0%

3+ goals

Midland

Recent
WD
Wins 1Goals 1-0

Biggest win 1-0

Quilmes

Recent
LD
Wins 0Goals 0-1
  • Midland1-0Quilmes
  • Quilmes0-0Midland

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.