Patronato v San Martin Tucuman: the model read
Patronato meet San Martin Tucuman in the Primera Nacional regular season - 19. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 28% PAT, 39% draw, 33% SAN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 48%. Attacking output favors San Martin Tucuman on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 13%, over 2.5 goals around 6%. Draw no bet leans San Martin Tucuman at 54%; double chance reads Patronato or draw 67%, San Martin Tucuman or draw 72%.
Patronato arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 2 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Midland, D 1-1 @ Gimnasia Y Tiro, L 0-1 v San Martin Tucuman, D 1-1 v Midland.
San Martin Tucuman are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Temperley, D 0-0 @ Deportivo Maipu, W 3-0 v Almagro, W 1-0 @ Patronato.
San Martin Tucuman hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Patronato 0-1 San Martin Tucuman.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
