Colegiales v Gimnasia Y Tiro: the model read
Colegiales meet Gimnasia Y Tiro in the Primera Nacional regular season - 19 at Estadio de Colegiales, Buenos Aires. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 35% COL, 36% draw, 28% GIM.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Colegiales, 48% against 39%. Attacking output favors Colegiales on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 20%, over 2.5 goals around 12%. Draw no bet leans Colegiales at 56%; double chance reads Colegiales or draw 72%, Gimnasia Y Tiro or draw 65%.
Colegiales arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Quilmes, L 0-1 @ Atlanta, L 1-2 v Gimnasia Y Tiro, W 3-1 v Quilmes.
Gimnasia Y Tiro are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Deportivo Maipu, D 1-1 v Patronato, W 2-1 @ Colegiales, D 0-0 @ Deportivo Maipu.
Gimnasia Y Tiro hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Colegiales 1-2 Gimnasia Y Tiro.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
