IFK Varnamo v IK brage

IFK Varnamo meet IK brage in the Superettan regular season - 16 at Finnvedsvallen, Varnamo. The model makes IK brage the most likely outcome at 48%, with the full read 25% IFK, 27% draw, 48% IK .

The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1483, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans IK brage, 47% against 23%. Attacking output favors IK brage on expected goals, 1.7 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 61%, over 2.5 goals around 73%. Draw no bet leans IK brage at 66%; double chance reads IFK Varnamo or draw 52%, IK brage or draw 75%.

IFK Varnamo arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 3 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v IK brage, L 2-3 v Ljungskile SK, L 0-2 v Naestved, L 0-1 @ Landskrona BoIS.

IK brage are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 11 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ IFK Varnamo, L 2-3 @ Osters IF, L 2-4 v Falkenbergs FF, W 5-1 v IFK Varnamo.

The market prices IFK at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on IK brage: a 16.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 84 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.