Where the market is wrong on Gjøvik-Lyn v Råde
Gjøvik-Lyn meet Råde in the 3. Division - Girone 6 regular season - 13. The model makes Gjøvik-Lyn the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 40% GJØ, 29% draw, 31% RÅD.
The baseline ratings are close, 1638 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Gjøvik-Lyn, 68% against 53%. Attacking output favors Råde on expected goals, 2.6 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 67%, over 2.5 goals around 69%. Draw no bet leans Gjøvik-Lyn at 56%; double chance reads Gjøvik-Lyn or draw 69%, Råde or draw 60%.
Gjøvik-Lyn arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Råde, W 3-0 @ Brumunddal, W 3-0 v Ørn Horten, D 0-0 v Drøbak / Frogn.
Råde are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 16 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Gjøvik-Lyn, L 3-5 v Lyn II, W 2-1 @ Drøbak / Frogn, W 7-2 v Raelingen.
Råde hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Gjøvik-Lyn 0-3 Råde.
The market prices GJØ at 34% implied. Our number sits apart on Gjøvik-Lyn: a 6.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 67 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
