Sarpsborg 08 II v Ørn Horten

Sarpsborg 08 II meet Ørn Horten in the 3. Division - Girone 6 regular season - 13. The model makes Ørn Horten the most likely outcome at 49%, with the full read 25% SAR, 26% draw, 49% ØRN.

Ørn Horten rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1558 to 1400. Recent form leans Ørn Horten, 57% against 30%. Attacking output favors Ørn Horten on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 73%, over 2.5 goals around 85%. Draw no bet leans Ørn Horten at 66%; double chance reads Sarpsborg 08 II or draw 51%, Ørn Horten or draw 75%.

Sarpsborg 08 II arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Bjørkelangen, W 2-1 v Fram, D 3-3 @ Brumunddal, L 0-2 v Oppsal.

Ørn Horten are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 4-3 v Sandefjord II, L 0-3 @ Gjøvik-Lyn, L 0-3 v Elverum, D 0-0 @ Raelingen.

The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sarpsborg 08 II 2-3 Ørn Horten.

The market prices SAR at 32% implied. Our number sits apart on Ørn Horten: a 4.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 66 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.