Where the market is wrong on Odd II v Våg
Odd II meet Våg in the 3. Division - Girone 4 regular season - 13. The model makes Våg the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% ODD, 27% draw, 37% VÅG.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 48%. Attacking output favors Odd II on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 88%, over 2.5 goals around 92%. Draw no bet leans Våg at 50%; double chance reads Odd II or draw 63%, Våg or draw 63%.
Odd II arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 9 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Varhaug, W 3-1 v Flekkerøy, L 2-5 @ Staal Jørpeland, L 1-2 v Åkra.
Våg are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Viking II, L 1-2 @ Mandalskameratene, W 3-2 v Stabæk II, L 0-1 v Staal Jørpeland.
Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Odd II 1-1 Våg.
The market prices ODD at 59% implied. Our number sits apart on Våg: a 15.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
