Gneist v Brann II

Gneist meet Brann II in the 3. Division - Girone 3 regular season - 13. The model makes Brann II the most likely outcome at 48%, with the full read 27% GNE, 25% draw, 48% BRA.

Brann II rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1541 to 1400. Recent form leans Brann II, 55% against 28%. Attacking output favors Brann II on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 83%, over 2.5 goals around 93%. Draw no bet leans Brann II at 64%; double chance reads Gneist or draw 52%, Brann II or draw 73%.

Gneist arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 10 scored and 17 conceded. Recent results: L 2-6 @ Djerv, L 0-2 v Askøy, W 1-0 @ Varegg, L 4-6 v Sogndal II.

Brann II are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 16 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Fana, L 2-5 @ Os, D 2-2 @ Austevoll, W 7-1 v Askøy.

Brann II hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Gneist 0-3 Brann II.

The market prices GNE at 26% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.