Where the market is wrong on Volda v Ranheim II
Volda meet Ranheim II in the 3. Division - Girone 2 regular season - 13. The model makes Volda the most likely outcome at 48%, with the full read 48% VOL, 25% draw, 27% RAN.
Volda rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1454. Recent form leans Volda, 73% against 43%. Attacking output favors Volda on expected goals, 2.5 to 2.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 86%, over 2.5 goals around 94%. Draw no bet leans Volda at 64%; double chance reads Volda or draw 73%, Ranheim II or draw 52%.
Volda arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 15 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Kvik Trondheim, W 3-2 v Byåsen, W 5-2 @ Orkla, W 3-1 v NTNUI.
Ranheim II are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 13 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-7 @ Volda, W 5-3 v Nardo, W 5-2 @ Aalesund II, D 1-1 v Kvik Trondheim.
Volda hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Volda 7-0 Ranheim II.
The market prices VOL at 70% implied. Our number sits apart on Ranheim II: a 14.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
