Where the market is wrong on Nordstrand v Gamle Oslo
Nordstrand meet Gamle Oslo in the 3. Division - Girone 1 regular season - 13. The model makes Gamle Oslo the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 36% NOR, 26% draw, 38% GAM.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Gamle Oslo, 63% against 48%. Attacking output favors Gamle Oslo on expected goals, 3.5 to 2.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 96%, over 2.5 goals around 98%. Draw no bet leans Gamle Oslo at 52%; double chance reads Nordstrand or draw 62%, Gamle Oslo or draw 64%.
Nordstrand arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 10 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Gamle Oslo, W 5-1 @ SF Grei, L 0-2 v Asker, L 2-3 @ Vålerenga II.
Gamle Oslo are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Nordstrand, W 6-1 v Lokomotiv Oslo, L 0-1 @ Heming, L 2-3 v Ullern.
Gamle Oslo hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Nordstrand 1-2 Gamle Oslo.
The market prices NOR at 19% implied. Our number sits apart on Nordstrand: a 17.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
