Where the market is wrong on Haugesund v Egersund
Haugesund meet Egersund in the 1. Division regular season - 19 at Haugesund Stadion, Haugesund.
Haugesund rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1523. Recent form leans Haugesund, 73% against 50%. Attacking output favors Haugesund on expected goals, 3.2 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 90%, over 2.5 goals around 96%. Draw no bet leans Haugesund at 60%; double chance reads Haugesund or draw 70%, Egersund or draw 55%.
Haugesund arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 20 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Egersund, W 4-3 @ Vard, L 2-3 @ Kongsvinger, W 7-2 v Raufoss.
Egersund are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Haugesund, W 5-2 @ Våg, L 0-4 v Stabaek, W 2-0 @ Stromsgodset.
The market prices HAU at 61% implied. Our number sits apart on Egersund: a 11.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
