Stabaek v hodd

Stabaek meet hodd in the 1. Division regular season - 15 at Nadderud Stadion, Bekkestua. The model makes Stabaek the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 44% STA, 28% draw, 28% HOD.

The baseline ratings are close, 1601 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Stabaek, 63% against 53%. Attacking output favors Stabaek on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 64%, over 2.5 goals around 70%. Draw no bet leans Stabaek at 61%; double chance reads Stabaek or draw 72%, hodd or draw 56%.

Stabaek arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 12 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 5-2 @ Ranheim, W 2-0 v Bryne, L 0-1 @ Strommen, W 3-1 v Egersund.

hodd are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-3 v Stromsgodset, W 4-1 @ Lyn, D 0-0 @ ODD Ballklubb, L 1-2 v Kongsvinger.

Stabaek hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Stabaek 6-0 hodd.

The market prices STA at 68% implied. Our number sits apart on hodd: a 13.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.