VPS v Mariehamn: the model read
VPS meet Mariehamn in the Veikkausliiga regular season - 14 at Lemonsoft Stadion, Vaasa. The model makes VPS the most likely outcome at 59%, with the full read 59% VPS, 24% draw, 17% MAR.
VPS rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1400. Recent form leans VPS, 63% against 25%. Attacking output favors VPS on expected goals, 2.3 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 43%, over 2.5 goals around 77%. Draw no bet leans VPS at 77%; double chance reads VPS or draw 83%, Mariehamn or draw 41%.
VPS arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ KuPS, L 1-2 @ HJK Helsinki, W 1-0 v SJK, W 4-0 v Mariehamn.
Mariehamn are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 3 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v AC Oulu, L 0-2 v Lahti, L 2-4 @ Gnistan, L 0-4 @ VPS.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 58 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
