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Liga de Expansión MX · Clausura - 8 · Mexico

Tlaxcala v Tepatitlán

1-0Full time· Estadio Tlahuicole, Tlaxcala· Referee: H. Solorio Arreola

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Tlaxcala v Tepatitlán: the model read

Tlaxcala meet Tepatitlán in the Liga de Expansión MX clausura - 8 at Estadio Tlahuicole, Tlaxcala.

The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 43%. Attacking output favors Tlaxcala on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.0 per match.

Tlaxcala arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v CDS Tampico Madero, D 1-1 @ Durango, W 3-1 v Venados FC, L 2-3 @ Tepatitlán.

Tepatitlán are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 4 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: L 0-5 @ Venados FC, L 1-4 v Dorados, L 0-6 @ Cruz Azul Hidalgo, W 3-2 v Tlaxcala.

Tlaxcala hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Tepatitlán 3-2 Tlaxcala.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Tlaxcala

DLWDW5-7-8

Scored 1.35 · Conceded 1.60 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 60%

  • WHCDS Tampico Madero3-1
  • DADurango1-1
  • WHVenados FC3-1
  • LATepatitlán2-3
  • DADorados2-2

Tepatitlán

LWLLL6-5-9

Scored 1.00 · Conceded 1.85 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 40%

  • LAVenados FC0-5
  • LHDorados1-4
  • LACruz Azul Hidalgo0-6
  • WHTlaxcala3-2
  • LAAlebrijes de Oaxaca0-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

TlaxcalarecordTepatitlán
3
2
5 draws

Goals

11-10

for each

Avg goals

2.1

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

Tlaxcala

Recent
LWWDDD
Wins 3Goals 11-10

Biggest win 1-0

Tepatitlán

Recent
WLLDDD
Wins 2Goals 10-11

Biggest win 3-2

  • Tepatitlán3-2Tlaxcala
  • Tlaxcala1-0Tepatitlán
  • Tepatitlán1-2Tlaxcala
  • Tlaxcala2-2Tepatitlán
  • Tepatitlán0-0Tlaxcala
  • Tepatitlán1-1Tlaxcala
  • Tlaxcala0-1Tepatitlán
  • Tepatitlán0-0Tlaxcala
  • Tlaxcala2-1Tepatitlán
  • Tepatitlán1-1Tlaxcala

Managers

Arturo Ortega

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Daniel Bartolotta

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.