Where the market is wrong on Orgryte IS v Halmstad
Orgryte IS meet Halmstad in the Allsvenskan regular season - 18 at Gamla Ullevi, Gothenburg.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 33% against 28%. Attacking output favors Orgryte IS on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 61%, over 2.5 goals around 60%. Draw no bet leans Orgryte IS at 54%; double chance reads Orgryte IS or draw 68%, Halmstad or draw 62%.
Orgryte IS arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Eskilsminne, D 1-1 v Halmstad, L 1-3 @ IF Brommapojkarna, L 3-4 v AIK Stockholm.
Halmstad are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Skövde AIK, D 1-1 @ Orgryte IS, L 0-1 @ BK Hacken, L 0-2 v Gais.
Orgryte IS hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Orgryte IS 1-1 Halmstad.
The market prices ORG at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on Halmstad: a 5.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
