Boise v One Knoxville: the model read
Boise meet One Knoxville in the USL League One group stage. The model makes One Knoxville the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 33% BOI, 29% draw, 37% ONE.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 57%. Attacking output favors Boise on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 65%, over 2.5 goals around 64%. Draw no bet leans One Knoxville at 53%; double chance reads Boise or draw 63%, One Knoxville or draw 67%.
Boise arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Greenville Triumph, W 2-1 @ NY Cosmos, W 2-1 v Portland Hearts of Pine, W 2-0 v Sacramento Republic.
One Knoxville are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Chattanooga Red Wolves, L 2-3 v Alta, W 2-1 v Fort Wayne, D 1-1 @ Corpus Christi.
One Knoxville hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Boise 1-2 One Knoxville.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output