Sacramento Republic beat Las Vegas Lights 3-2 at Heart Health Park, Sacramento.
How it unfolded: 13' O. Anderson (LAS), 36' M. Rodriguez (SAC), 50' C. Locker (LAS), 58' T. Wolff (SAC), 82' K. Edwards (SAC).
Discipline: 7 yellow cards.
Changes off the bench: SAC 5, LAS 4.
The model's lean held: it made Sacramento Republic the most likely outcome at 37%, and the result followed. One result proves little; the ledger is the judge over the full tournament.
Score projection: the model's most likely scoreline was Sacramento Republic 1-0 Las Vegas Lights; the match finished 3-2.
Ledger entry: the published 14.8-point edge on Las Vegas Lights did not land. Logged in the open, as every edge is.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output and real match data
