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USL Championship · Group Stage · USA

Orange County SC v Pittsburgh Riverhounds

1-0Full time· Championship Soccer Stadium· Referee: A. Ndiaye

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Orange County SC v Pittsburgh Riverhounds: the model read

Orange County SC meet Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USL Championship group stage at Championship Soccer Stadium, undefined.

The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 53%. Attacking output favors Orange County SC on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.

Orange County SC arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Pittsburgh Riverhounds, L 0-6 @ Lexington, L 0-2 v Las Vegas Lights, D 1-1 v Sacramento Republic.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Orange County SC, L 0-1 @ Detroit City, W 1-0 v Loudoun United, D 2-2 @ Miami FC.

The market prices ORA at 32% implied. Our number sits apart on Pittsburgh Riverhounds: a 2.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 60 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Orange County SC

DDLLW6-6-8

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 2.05 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 70%

  • WHPittsburgh Riverhounds1-0
  • LALexington0-6
  • LHLas Vegas Lights0-2
  • DHSacramento Republic1-1
  • DAOakland Roots1-1

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

DDWLL8-5-7

Scored 0.90 · Conceded 0.70 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 25%

  • LAOrange County SC0-1
  • LADetroit City0-1
  • WHLoudoun United1-0
  • DAMiami FC2-2
  • DHTampa Bay Rowdies0-0

Managers

Danny Stone

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Rob Vincent

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.