Monterey Bay v Phoenix Rising: the model read
Monterey Bay meet Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship group stage at Cardinale Stadium, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Phoenix Rising, 45% against 33%. Attacking output favors Monterey Bay on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.
Monterey Bay arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Phoenix Rising, D 1-1 v Sacramento Republic, L 1-3 @ Rhode Island, D 1-1 @ Oakland Roots.
Phoenix Rising are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Monterey Bay, W 2-1 v Indy Eleven, D 2-2 @ Sacramento Republic, W 3-1 v Colorado Springs.
Phoenix Rising hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Monterey Bay 1-1 Phoenix Rising.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
