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USL Championship · Group Stage · USA

Indy Eleven v Brooklyn

4-0Full time· Michael A. Carroll Stadium· Referee: E. Carvajal

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Indy Eleven v Brooklyn

Indy Eleven meet Brooklyn in the USL Championship group stage at Michael A. Carroll Stadium, undefined.

Indy Eleven rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1523 to 1400. Recent form leans Indy Eleven, 53% against 33%. Attacking output favors Indy Eleven on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.3 per match.

Indy Eleven arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Brooklyn, D 2-2 @ New Mexico United, D 2-2 v Birmingham Legion, L 1-2 @ Phoenix Rising.

Brooklyn are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Indy Eleven, D 1-1 v Miami FC, L 0-2 @ Tampa Bay Rowdies, W 4-1 v Sporting JAX.

The market prices IND at 53% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 6.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Indy Eleven

WLDDW8-5-7

Scored 1.30 · Conceded 1.10 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 45%

  • WHBrooklyn4-0
  • DANew Mexico United2-2
  • DHBirmingham Legion2-2
  • LAPhoenix Rising1-2
  • WHLouisville City2-1

Brooklyn

LWLDL4-5-11

Scored 1.30 · Conceded 1.85 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 50%

  • LAIndy Eleven0-4
  • DHMiami FC1-1
  • LATampa Bay Rowdies0-2
  • WHSporting JAX4-1
  • LHPittsburgh Riverhounds0-1

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.