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Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 10 · Argentina

Union Santa Fe v Independiente

· Estadio 15 de Abril, Santa Fe

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Union Santa Fe v Independiente: the model read

Union Santa Fe meet Independiente in the Liga Profesional Argentina clausura - 10 at Estadio 15 de Abril, Santa Fe.

The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 53%. Attacking output favors Union Santa Fe on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.

Union Santa Fe arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Sarmiento Junin, W 3-1 @ Aldosivi, L 0-1 @ San Lorenzo, L 1-2 v Central Cordoba de Santiago.

Independiente are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Gimnasia M., D 0-0 v Independ. Rivadavia, W 3-1 @ Lanus, L 0-4 @ Atletico Tucuman.

Independiente hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Union Santa Fe 0-2 Independiente.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Union Santa Fe

WLLWW7-5-8

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 65%

  • WHSarmiento Junin4-1
  • WAAldosivi3-1
  • LASan Lorenzo0-1
  • LHCentral Cordoba de Santiago1-2
  • WHLanus2-1

Independiente

LLWDL9-3-8

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 1.40 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 45%

  • LHGimnasia M.0-3
  • DHIndepend. Rivadavia0-0
  • WALanus3-1
  • LAAtletico Tucuman0-4
  • LHPlatense0-1

Head-to-head

9 meetings

Union Santa FerecordIndependiente
1
5
3 draws

Goals

10-15

for each

Avg goals

2.8

per game

BTTS

33%

both scored

Over 2.5

56%

3+ goals

Union Santa Fe

Recent
LDLWLL
Wins 1Goals 10-15

Biggest win 3-0

Independiente

Recent
WDWLWW
Wins 5Goals 15-10

Biggest win 3-0

  • Union Santa Fe0-2Independiente
  • Independiente4-4Union Santa Fe
  • Independiente3-0Union Santa Fe
  • Union Santa Fe3-0Independiente
  • Union Santa Fe0-1Independiente
  • Independiente1-0Union Santa Fe
  • Union Santa Fe0-0Independiente
  • Union Santa Fe2-2Independiente
  • Independiente2-1Union Santa Fe

Managers

Leonardo Madelon

Head coach

In charge since 2026

G. Quinteros

Bolivia · 60

In charge since 2026 · 12 teams managed

  • Grêmio2024–2025
  • Vélez Sarsfield2024–2024
  • Colo Colo2020–2023
  • Tijuana2019–2020

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.