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Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 7 · Argentina

Rosario Central v Gimnasia L.P.

1-2Full time· Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario· Referee: D. Herrera

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Rosario Central v Gimnasia L.P.

Rosario Central meet Gimnasia L.P. in the Liga Profesional Argentina clausura - 7 at Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario.

The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1627, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 65%. Attacking output favors Gimnasia L.P. on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.

Rosario Central arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Gimnasia L.P., D 2-2 @ Talleres Cordoba, L 0-1 @ Corinthians, W 1-0 @ Barracas Central.

Gimnasia L.P. are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Rosario Central, L 2-3 v Gimnasia M., D 1-1 @ Deportivo Riestra, L 0-4 @ Estudiantes L.P..

Rosario Central hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 4 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Rosario Central 1-2 Gimnasia L.P..

The market prices ROS at 57% implied. Our number sits apart on Gimnasia L.P.: a 16.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Rosario Central

DWLDL10-4-6

Scored 1.30 · Conceded 0.90 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 45%

  • LHGimnasia L.P.1-2
  • DATalleres Cordoba2-2
  • LACorinthians0-1
  • WABarracas Central1-0
  • DHCorinthians0-0

Gimnasia L.P.

WLDLW12-2-6

Scored 1.45 · Conceded 1.10 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 45%

  • WARosario Central2-1
  • LHGimnasia M.2-3
  • DADeportivo Riestra1-1
  • LAEstudiantes L.P.0-4
  • WHBarracas Central2-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Rosario CentralrecordGimnasia L.P.
6
4
0 draws

Goals

15-10

for each

Avg goals

2.5

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

70%

3+ goals

Rosario Central

Recent
LWWWWW
Wins 6Goals 15-10

Biggest win 3-0

Gimnasia L.P.

Recent
WLLLLL
Wins 4Goals 10-15

Biggest win 2-1

  • Rosario Central1-2Gimnasia L.P.
  • Gimnasia L.P.1-2Rosario Central
  • Gimnasia L.P.0-3Rosario Central
  • Rosario Central2-1Gimnasia L.P.
  • Gimnasia L.P.0-1Rosario Central
  • Rosario Central2-1Gimnasia L.P.
  • Gimnasia L.P.2-1Rosario Central
  • Rosario Central3-1Gimnasia L.P.
  • Rosario Central0-1Gimnasia L.P.
  • Gimnasia L.P.1-0Rosario Central

Managers

Jorge Almiron

Head coach

In charge since 2026

A. Orfila

Uruguay · 49

In charge since 2025 · 11 teams managed

  • Barracas Central2023–2024
  • Temperley2023–2023
  • Almirante Brown2022–2023
  • Atlanta2022–2022

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.