Where the market is wrong on Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto v San Lorenzo
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto meet San Lorenzo in the Liga Profesional Argentina clausura - 6 at Antonio Candini, Cordoba.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans San Lorenzo, 50% against 20%. Attacking output favors San Lorenzo on expected goals, 0.7 to 0.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 9%, over 2.5 goals around 6%. Draw no bet leans San Lorenzo at 63%; double chance reads Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto or draw 62%, San Lorenzo or draw 78%.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 1 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v San Lorenzo, L 0-1 v Atletico Tucuman, L 1-2 @ Independ. Rivadavia, D 0-0 v Banfield.
San Lorenzo are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 2 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto, W 1-0 v Union Santa Fe, L 0-2 v Huracan, L 0-1 @ Central Cordoba de Santiago.
San Lorenzo hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0-0 San Lorenzo.
The market prices EST at 27% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 64 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
