San Lorenzo v Gimnasia M.: the model read
San Lorenzo meet Gimnasia M. in the Liga Profesional Argentina clausura - 2 at Estadio Pedro Bidegain, Buenos Aires. The model makes San Lorenzo the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% SAN, 35% draw, 29% GIM.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 50%. Attacking output favors San Lorenzo on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 26%, over 2.5 goals around 18%. Draw no bet leans San Lorenzo at 55%; double chance reads San Lorenzo or draw 71%, Gimnasia M. or draw 64%.
San Lorenzo arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Lanus, D 1-1 v Deportivo Riestra, L 0-1 v Deportivo Recoleta, D 2-2 @ Santos.
Gimnasia M. are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Central Cordoba de Santiago, W 2-1 v Defensa Y Justicia, L 1-5 @ Independ. Rivadavia, W 1-0 v Lanus.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
