Where the market is wrong on Treaty United v Cork City
Treaty United meet Cork City in the First Division regular season - 28 at Markets Field, Limerick.
Cork City rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1466. Recent form leans Cork City, 65% against 45%. Attacking output favors Cork City on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 58%, over 2.5 goals around 65%. Draw no bet leans Cork City at 63%; double chance reads Treaty United or draw 55%, Cork City or draw 74%.
Treaty United arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Cork City, L 0-2 @ Cobh Ramblers, W 2-1 @ UCD, L 0-1 v Longford Town.
Cork City are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 13 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Treaty United, W 3-1 v Kerry, W 3-2 v Athlone Town, W 3-0 @ Finn Harps.
The market prices TRE at 15% implied. Our number sits apart on Treaty United: a 11.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
