Finn Harps v Treaty United: the model read
Finn Harps meet Treaty United in the First Division regular season - 23 at Finn Park, Ballybofey. The model makes Treaty United the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 28% FIN, 32% draw, 40% TRE.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Treaty United, 45% against 30%. Attacking output favors Treaty United on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 37%, over 2.5 goals around 33%. Draw no bet leans Treaty United at 59%; double chance reads Finn Harps or draw 60%, Treaty United or draw 72%.
Finn Harps arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Kerry, L 0-1 v Bray Wanderers, L 0-1 v Treaty United, W 1-0 v Wexford.
Treaty United are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Athlone Town, L 1-2 v UCD, W 1-0 @ Finn Harps, W 2-1 v Kerry.
Treaty United hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Finn Harps 0-1 Treaty United.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
