Treaty United v Kerry: the model read
Treaty United meet Kerry in the First Division regular season - 22 at Markets Field, Limerick. The model makes Kerry the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 31% TRE, 32% draw, 37% KER.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 50%. Attacking output favors Kerry on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 44%, over 2.5 goals around 38%. Draw no bet leans Kerry at 54%; double chance reads Treaty United or draw 63%, Kerry or draw 69%.
Treaty United arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Athlone Town, L 1-2 v UCD, W 1-0 @ Finn Harps, W 2-1 v Kerry.
Kerry are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Finn Harps, D 2-2 v Shelbourne, D 2-2 @ Wexford, L 1-2 @ Treaty United.
Treaty United hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Treaty United 2-1 Kerry.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
