Finn Harps v Wexford: the model read
Finn Harps meet Wexford in the First Division regular season - 22 at Finn Park, Ballybofey. The model makes Wexford the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 27% FIN, 32% draw, 41% WEX.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Wexford, 45% against 30%. Attacking output favors Wexford on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 36%, over 2.5 goals around 33%. Draw no bet leans Wexford at 60%; double chance reads Finn Harps or draw 59%, Wexford or draw 73%.
Finn Harps arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Kerry, L 0-1 v Bray Wanderers, L 0-1 v Treaty United, W 1-0 v Wexford.
Wexford are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Longford Town, L 1-2 @ St Patrick's Athl., D 2-2 v Kerry, L 0-1 @ Finn Harps.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
