Finn Harps v Bray Wanderers: the model read
Finn Harps meet Bray Wanderers in the First Division regular season - 14 at Finn Park, Ballybofey. The model makes Bray Wanderers the most likely outcome at 54%, with the full read 20% FIN, 26% draw, 54% BRA.
Bray Wanderers rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1400. Recent form leans Bray Wanderers, 60% against 30%. Attacking output favors Bray Wanderers on expected goals, 2.1 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 44%, over 2.5 goals around 69%. Draw no bet leans Bray Wanderers at 73%; double chance reads Finn Harps or draw 46%, Bray Wanderers or draw 80%.
Finn Harps arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Kerry, L 0-1 v Bray Wanderers, L 0-1 v Treaty United, W 1-0 v Wexford.
Bray Wanderers are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 10 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Cobh Ramblers, W 1-0 @ Finn Harps, W 6-0 v UCD, W 1-0 v Athlone Town.
Bray Wanderers hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Finn Harps 0-1 Bray Wanderers.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
