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Premier Division · Regular Season - 28 · Ireland

Dundalk v Galway United

· Oriel Park, Dundalk

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Dundalk v Galway United: the model read

Dundalk meet Galway United in the Premier Division regular season - 28 at Oriel Park, Dundalk. The model makes Dundalk the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% DUN, 29% draw, 33% GAL.

The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Dundalk, 57% against 48%. Attacking output favors Galway United on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 70%, over 2.5 goals around 71%. Draw no bet leans Dundalk at 54%; double chance reads Dundalk or draw 67%, Galway United or draw 62%.

Dundalk arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ St Patrick's Athl., W 3-1 @ St Mochta's, L 1-2 v Drogheda United, L 1-2 @ Shelbourne.

Galway United are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Waterford, W 4-0 v Crumlin United, W 3-2 v Sligo Rovers, L 0-3 @ St Patrick's Athl..

Galway United hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Galway United 0-1 Dundalk.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Dundalk

LLLWD9-5-6

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 1.40 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 75%

  • DASt Patrick's Athl.1-1
  • WASt Mochta's3-1
  • LHDrogheda United1-2
  • LAShelbourne1-2
  • LHWaterford2-3

Galway United

LLWWD7-5-8

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 70%

  • DHWaterford0-0
  • WHCrumlin United4-0
  • WHSligo Rovers3-2
  • LASt Patrick's Athl.0-3
  • LAShamrock Rovers1-3

Head-to-head

8 meetings

DundalkrecordGalway United
2
4
2 draws

Goals

6-14

for each

Avg goals

2.5

per game

BTTS

38%

both scored

Over 2.5

38%

3+ goals

Dundalk

Recent
WWDDLL
Wins 2Goals 6-14

Biggest win 1-0

Galway United

Recent
LLDDWW
Wins 4Goals 14-6

Biggest win 4-0

  • Galway United0-1Dundalk
  • Dundalk2-1Galway United
  • Galway United2-2Dundalk
  • Galway United1-1Dundalk
  • Dundalk0-2Galway United
  • Galway United2-0Dundalk
  • Dundalk0-2Galway United
  • Galway United4-0Dundalk

Managers

S. O'Donnell

Republic of Ireland · 39

In charge since 2022 · 2 clubs managed

  • St Patrick's Athl.2020–2021

J. Caulfield

Republic of Ireland · 61

In charge since 2020 · 2 clubs managed

  • Cork City2013–2019

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.