Bohemians v Galway United

Bohemians meet Galway United in the Premier Division regular season - 26 at Dalymount Park, Dublin. The model makes Bohemians the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% BOH, 28% draw, 31% GAL.

The baseline ratings are close, 1565 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Bohemians, 58% against 48%. Attacking output favors Bohemians on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 70%, over 2.5 goals around 73%. Draw no bet leans Bohemians at 57%; double chance reads Bohemians or draw 69%, Galway United or draw 59%.

Bohemians arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 8 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Ballkani, D 0-0 @ St Joseph S Fc, W 2-0 v St Joseph S Fc, W 2-0 @ Drogheda United.

Galway United are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Waterford, W 4-0 v Crumlin United, W 3-2 v Sligo Rovers, L 0-3 @ St Patrick's Athl..

Bohemians hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Galway United 2-4 Bohemians.

The market prices BOH at 61% implied. Our number sits apart on Galway United: a 13.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.