Dundalk v Bohemians: the model read
Dundalk meet Bohemians in the Premier Division regular season - 16 at Oriel Park, Dundalk. The model makes Bohemians the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 33% DUN, 29% draw, 38% BOH.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1565, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 58%. Attacking output favors Bohemians on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 66%, over 2.5 goals around 66%. Draw no bet leans Bohemians at 53%; double chance reads Dundalk or draw 62%, Bohemians or draw 67%.
Dundalk arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ St Patrick's Athl., W 3-1 @ St Mochta's, L 1-2 v Drogheda United, L 1-2 @ Shelbourne.
Bohemians are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 8 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Ballkani, D 0-0 @ St Joseph S Fc, W 2-0 v St Joseph S Fc, W 2-0 @ Drogheda United.
Bohemians hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Bohemians 1-2 Dundalk.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
