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Serie A · Regular Season - 30 · Brazil

Bahia v Mirassol

· Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Bahia v Mirassol: the model read

Bahia meet Mirassol in the Serie A regular season - 30 at Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador.

The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 53%. Attacking output favors Bahia on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.

Bahia arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Internacional, W 2-0 @ Vitoria, D 3-3 @ Chapecoense-sc, D 0-0 v Vasco DA Gama.

Mirassol are patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Palmeiras, D 1-1 @ Santos, D 0-0 @ LDU de Quito, L 1-5 v Flamengo.

The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Mirassol 1-2 Bahia.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Bahia

DDDWW6-8-6

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 70%

  • WHInternacional3-2
  • WAVitoria2-0
  • DAChapecoense-sc3-3
  • DHVasco DA Gama0-0
  • DAFluminense0-0

Mirassol

DLDDD7-7-6

Scored 1.10 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 70%

  • DHPalmeiras1-1
  • DASantos1-1
  • DALDU de Quito0-0
  • LHFlamengo1-5
  • DHLDU de Quito1-1

Head-to-head

3 meetings

BahiarecordMirassol
1
1
1 draw

Goals

4-7

for each

Avg goals

3.7

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

67%

3+ goals

Bahia

Recent
WLD
Wins 1Goals 4-7

Biggest win 2-1

Mirassol

Recent
LWD
Wins 1Goals 7-4

Biggest win 5-1

  • Mirassol1-2Bahia
  • Mirassol5-1Bahia
  • Bahia1-1Mirassol

Managers

Ceni Rogerio

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Rafael Guanaes

Brazil · 44

In charge since 2025 · 11 teams managed

  • Atlético Goianiense2024–2025
  • Operário PR2022–2024
  • Novorizontino2022–2022
  • Tombense2021–2022

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.