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Serie A · Regular Season - 29 · Brazil

Vitoria v Chapecoense-sc

· Barradao, Salvador

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Vitoria v Chapecoense-sc: the model read

Vitoria meet Chapecoense-sc in the Serie A regular season - 29 at Barradao, Salvador.

The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1432, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Vitoria, 50% against 39%. Attacking output favors Vitoria on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.

Vitoria arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 2 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Atletico-MG, L 0-1 @ Vasco DA Gama, L 0-2 v Bahia, W 1-0 v Botafogo.

Chapecoense-sc are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Gremio, W 1-0 v Sao Paulo, D 3-3 v Bahia, L 1-2 @ Coritiba.

Vitoria hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Chapecoense-sc 1-1 Vitoria.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Vitoria

LWLLL9-2-9

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 35%

  • LAAtletico-MG1-2
  • LAVasco DA Gama0-1
  • LHBahia0-2
  • WHBotafogo1-0
  • LAFlamengo0-2

Chapecoense-sc

LLDWL5-5-9

Scored 1.21 · Conceded 1.63 · Clean sheets 26.3% · BTTS 47.4%

  • LAGremio1-3
  • WHSao Paulo1-0
  • DHBahia3-3
  • LACoritiba1-2
  • LACruzeiro0-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

VitoriarecordChapecoense-sc
4
3
3 draws

Goals

12-10

for each

Avg goals

2.2

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

Vitoria

Recent
DLWDDW
Wins 4Goals 12-10

Biggest win 4-1

Chapecoense-sc

Recent
DWLDDL
Wins 3Goals 10-12

Biggest win 3-1

  • Chapecoense-sc1-1Vitoria
  • Chapecoense-sc3-1Vitoria
  • Vitoria1-0Chapecoense-sc
  • Vitoria0-0Chapecoense-sc
  • Chapecoense-sc1-1Vitoria
  • Chapecoense-sc0-1Vitoria
  • Vitoria1-0Chapecoense-sc
  • Chapecoense-sc2-1Vitoria
  • Vitoria1-2Chapecoense-sc
  • Chapecoense-sc1-4Vitoria

Managers

Ventura Jair

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Lacerda Rafael

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 2 teams managed

  • Atletico Goianiense2026–2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.