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Serie A · Regular Season - 28 · Brazil

Vitoria v Cruzeiro

· Barradao, Salvador

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Vitoria v Cruzeiro: the model read

Vitoria meet Cruzeiro in the Serie A regular season - 28 at Barradao, Salvador.

The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Cruzeiro, 60% against 50%. Attacking output favors Cruzeiro on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.

Vitoria arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 2 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Atletico-MG, L 0-1 @ Vasco DA Gama, L 0-2 v Bahia, W 1-0 v Botafogo.

Cruzeiro are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Atletico-MG, L 1-3 @ Vasco DA Gama, D 1-1 v Atletico-MG, W 2-1 v Flamengo.

Cruzeiro hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cruzeiro 3-0 Vitoria.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Vitoria

LWLLL9-2-9

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 35%

  • LAAtletico-MG1-2
  • LAVasco DA Gama0-1
  • LHBahia0-2
  • WHBotafogo1-0
  • LAFlamengo0-2

Cruzeiro

LWDLL9-6-5

Scored 1.45 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 70%

  • LAAtletico-MG1-2
  • LAVasco DA Gama1-3
  • DHAtletico-MG1-1
  • WHFlamengo2-1
  • LAFlamengo1-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

VitoriarecordCruzeiro
1
6
3 draws

Goals

9-18

for each

Avg goals

2.7

per game

BTTS

40%

both scored

Over 2.5

70%

3+ goals

Vitoria

Recent
LLDDLW
Wins 1Goals 9-18

Biggest win 3-0

Cruzeiro

Recent
WWDDWL
Wins 6Goals 18-9

Biggest win 3-0

  • Cruzeiro3-0Vitoria
  • Cruzeiro3-1Vitoria
  • Vitoria0-0Cruzeiro
  • Vitoria2-2Cruzeiro
  • Cruzeiro3-1Vitoria
  • Vitoria3-0Cruzeiro
  • Cruzeiro2-2Vitoria
  • Vitoria0-1Cruzeiro
  • Cruzeiro1-0Vitoria
  • Cruzeiro3-0Vitoria

Managers

Ventura Jair

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Jorge Artur

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.