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Serie A · Regular Season - 28 · Brazil

Gremio v Palmeiras

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Gremio v Palmeiras: the model read

Gremio meet Palmeiras in the Serie A regular season - 28.

Palmeiras rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1504. Recent form leans Palmeiras, 68% against 50%. Attacking output favors Palmeiras on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.4 per match.

Gremio arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Chapecoense-sc, D 0-0 @ Internacional, L 0-1 @ RB Bragantino, L 0-3 @ Atletico-MG.

Palmeiras are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Mirassol, W 3-0 v Santos, W 4-1 v Vasco DA Gama, W 1-0 @ Cerro Porteno.

Palmeiras hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Palmeiras 2-1 Gremio.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Gremio

WLLDW7-5-7

Scored 1.37 · Conceded 1.37 · Clean sheets 15.8% · BTTS 68.4%

  • WHChapecoense-sc3-1
  • DAInternacional0-0
  • LARB Bragantino0-1
  • LAAtletico-MG0-3
  • WHSao Paulo2-1

Palmeiras

LWWWD11-5-4

Scored 2.05 · Conceded 0.85 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 55%

  • DAMirassol1-1
  • WHSantos3-0
  • WHVasco DA Gama4-1
  • WACerro Porteno1-0
  • LAFluminense2-3

Head-to-head

10 meetings

GremiorecordPalmeiras
2
7
1 draw

Goals

9-19

for each

Avg goals

2.8

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Gremio

Recent
LWLLDW
Wins 2Goals 9-19

Biggest win 3-2

Palmeiras

Recent
WLWWDL
Wins 7Goals 19-9

Biggest win 4-1

  • Palmeiras2-1Gremio
  • Gremio3-2Palmeiras
  • Palmeiras1-0Gremio
  • Palmeiras1-0Gremio
  • Gremio2-2Palmeiras
  • Gremio1-0Palmeiras
  • Palmeiras4-1Gremio
  • Gremio1-3Palmeiras
  • Palmeiras2-0Gremio
  • Palmeiras2-0Gremio

Managers

Luis Castro

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Abel Ferreira

Portugal · 47

In charge since 2020 · 5 teams managed

  • PAOK2019–2020
  • Sporting Braga2017–2019
  • Sporting Braga2016–2016
  • Sporting Braga II2015–2017

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.